Risk Bluff in Chess: The Art of Taking Calculated Risks

Szachy > Książki New In Chess

Shortlisted for the English Chess Federation Book of the Year Award 2016! You cannot win in chess without taking risks. Winning requires courage and psychology. No matter how deep you calculate, there always comes a point where you have to deal with uncertainties and take a decision.What is carefully calculated risk, and what is bluff? And why were famous players like Lasker and Tal so successful with both? They realized that chess is not a science. Emotions also play a role behind the board. If you can guess what your opponent is feeling and thinking, you are ahead of him. When your main aim is to derail your opponent#8217;s calculation by weaving a web of deception, you engage in the highest form of risk: bluff. Renowned chess coach Vladimir Tukmakov has played against, and worked with, quite a few chess greats. Many of them told him frankly about their thoughts and feelings during crucial games.  These stories became the foundation of a collection of more than 100 practical ways that masters and grandmasters have used to push beyond the limits of calculation and take a deliberate risk. It works

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Calculated Risk Purdue University Press

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Drawing on extensive interviews with fellow astronauts, NASA engineers, family members, and friends of Gus Grissom, George Leopold delivers a comprehensive and corrective account of Gus Grissom's life that places his career in the context of the Cold War and the history of human spaceflight.

Sklep: Libristo.pl

Calculated Risk

Książki Obcojęzyczne>Angielskie>Fiction & related items>Modern & contemporary fiction (post c 1945)

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Calculated Risk

Muzyka>Inne

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Calculated Risk

Książki

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Risk Theory Springer

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

The theory of risk already has its traditions. A review of its classical results is contained in Bohlmann (1909). This classical theory was associated with life insurance mathematics, and dealt mainly with deviations which were expected to be produced by random fluctua tions in individual policies. According to this theory, these deviations are discounted to some initial instant; the square root of the sum of the squares of the capital values calculated in this way then gives a measure for the stability of the portfolio. A theory constituted in this manner is not, however, very appropriate for practical purposes. The fact is that it does not give an answer to such questions as, for example, within what limits a company's probable gain or loss will lie during different periods. Further, non-life insurance, to which risk theory has, in fact, its most rewarding applications, was mainly outside the field of interest of the risk theorists. Thus it is quite understandable that this theory did not receive very much attention and that its applications to practical problems of insurance activity remained rather unimportant. A new phase of development began following the studies of Filip Lundberg (1909, 1919), which, thanks to H. Cramer (1926), e.O.

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Risk, Uncertainty and Profit Vernon Press

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

In Risk, Uncertainty and Profit, Frank Knight explored the riddle of profitability in a competitive market: profit should not be possible under competitive conditions, as the entry of new entrepreneurs would drive prices down and nullify margins, however evidence abounds of competitive yet profitable markets. To explain this seeming paradox, Knight uncovers the distinction between calculable risk and essentially unknowable uncertainty. Knight argued that risk stems from repeated events, which therefore allow probabilities to be calculated and factored into decisions, as for instance insurers do. Uncertainty however, stems from events that are unpredictable and as such cannot be prepared against. According to Knight, it is the interplay between risk and uncertainty on the one hand and competition between incumbent and new entrepreneurs that accounts for the enormous variation in profitability across firms and, for the same firms, over time. His insights on the sources of profit have been instrumental in shaping modern economic theory and to the development of a useful understanding of probability. This New Edition has been typeset with modern techniques and contains a newly compiled Index of important topics. It has been painstakingly proofread to ensure that it is free from errors and that the content is faithful to the original. *Biography* Frank H. Knight (1885-1972) was a Professor of economics at the University of Chicago for most of his professional life. Considered one of the founding fathers of the intellectual current known as the "Chicago School" , Frank Knight had an enormous influence on economic theory and methodology and as a consequence also on the professional reach of modern economists. Knight was an editor of the pre-eminent Journal of Political Economy for over two decades, winner of half a dozen scholarly awards and honorary degrees.

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Kolorowanka Gigant Spiderman 2 [2 szt.]

Książki & Multimedia > Książki

Opis - Opakowanie zawiera 2 duże kolorowanki o wymiarach: 100x70 cm Nazwa - Kolorowanka Gigant Spiderman 2 [2 szt.] Wydawca - VERTE Kod ISBN - 9990000023691 Kod EAN - 9990000023691 Podatek VAT - 23% Premiera - 2015-03-30

Sklep: InBook.pl

Módl się i zwyciężaj - Ks. Krystian Wilczyński

Książki & Multimedia > Książki

Nazwa - Módl się i zwyciężaj Autor - Ks. Krystian Wilczyński Oprawa - Miękka Wydawca - Emmanuel Kod ISBN - 9788363757625 Kod EAN - 9788363757625 Rok wydania - 2014 Format - 105x145 Ilość stron - 31 Podatek VAT - 5%

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VaR based on SMA, EWMA and GARCH(1,1) Volatility models VDM Verlag

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Lots of effort has been expended in improving volatility models since better forecasts translate in to better pricing of assets and better risk management. However the question as to what model should be used to calculate volatility, there is no unique answer as different volatility models were proposed in the literature and were being used by practitioners. To answer which VaR model adequately capture the market risk, three VaR models are tested on stock indices from Croatia, Serbia, Slovenia and Macedonia. The tested VaR models are: simple moving average with rolling windows of 50, 74 (proposed by Risk Metrics) and 100 days, EWMA using 0,9, 0,94 (proposed by Risk Metrics) and 0,96 as smoothing constant and different windows of 50, 74 and 100 days, and GARCH(1,1). VaR models are calculated for a one-day holding period at 95% and 99% coverage of the market risk. These competing models are evaluated on the basis of BLF error statistics. The challenge of this work is to come up with the best and easily implementable approach suitable to Former Yugoslavian stock exchange markets, especially for Macedonian and apply time series models for calculating Value at Risk.

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Truth or Die - James Patterson

Książki & Multimedia > Książki

Opis - The truth will set you free - if it doesn't kill you first. New York attorney Trevor Mann's world shatters when he receives a phone call telling him his girlfriend has been shot dead in a mugging. But the circumstances point to something more calculated than a random attack. Claire was a New York Times journalist and Trevor is convinced she had unearthed a secret so shocking that she was murdered to keep it from coming to light. Chasing Claire's leads, Trevor will risk everything to discover what exactly she was killed for. It's time to find out the truth, or die. Nazwa - Truth or Die Autor - James Patterson Oprawa - Miękka Wydawca - Arrow Kod ISBN - 9780099594550 Kod EAN - 9780099594550 Rok wydania - 2016 Język - angielski Format - 11.0x18.0cm Ilość stron - 506 Podatek VAT - 5%

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Bezos Letters Hodder & Stoughton General Division

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Amazon is the fastest company ever to reach $100 billion in sales and they didn't reach that landmark by staying in their comfort zone. Risk taking is the key that unlocked the door to growth at Amazon, but those risks were (and are) intentional, calculated, and strategic. Thomas Edison believed, "I have not failed.I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work." and Amazon's founder, Jeff Bezos, has always linked experimentation and failure with growth and success. But "risk taking" can be costly (even disastrous) if you don't know how to use it to your advantage. Fortunately, Bezos has provided every business owner a "hidden in plain sight" roadmap for how he grew Amazon through his Letter to Shareholders (or as he named them, share owners) that he has written annually for the past 20 years.For the first time, Technology and Risk expert Steve Anderson has analyzed and distilled these letters to reveal the key 14 Growth Principles that unlock the lessons, mindset, and steps Bezos has used to make Amazon the massive success it is today. Now, business owners, leaders, CEOs, employees, and managers can apply these same principles to grow their business to be more efficient, productive, and successful - fast!

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Vascular Biomechanics Springer, Berlin

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

This textbook serves as a modern introduction to vascular biomechanics and provides the comprehensive overview of the entire vascular system that is needed to run successful vascular biomechanics simulations. It aims to provide the reader with a holistic analysis of the vascular system towards its biomechanical description and includes numerous fully through-calculated examples. Various topics covered include vascular system descriptions, vascular exchange, blood vessel mechanics, vessel tissue characterization, blood flow mechanics, and vascular tissue growth and remodeling. This textbook is ideally suited for students and researchers studying and working in classical and computational vascular biomechanics. The book could also be of interest to developers of vascular devices and experts working with the regulatory approval of biomedical simulations.Follows the principle of "learning by doing" and provides numerous fully through-calculated examples for active learning, immediate recall, and self-examination;Provides a holistic understanding of vascular functioning and the integration of information from different disciplines to enable students to use sophisticated numerical methods to simulate the response of the vascular system;Includes several case studies that integrate the presented material. Case studies address problems, such as the biomechanical rupture risk assessment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms, Finite Element analysis of structural and blood flow problems, the computation of wall stress and wall shear stress in the aorta.

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Predictive Analytics John Wiley & Sons Inc

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

"Mesmerizing & fascinating..." --The Seattle Post-Intelligencer"The Freakonomics of big data." --Stein Kretsinger, founding executive of Advertising.comAward-winning | Used by over 30 universities | Translated into 9 languagesAn introduction for everyone. In this rich, fascinating -- surprisingly accessible -- introduction, leading expert Eric Siegel reveals how predictive analytics works, and how it affects everyone every day. Rather than a "how to" for hands-on techies, the book serves lay readers and experts alike by covering new case studies and the latest state-of-the-art techniques.Prediction is booming. It reinvents industries and runs the world. Companies, governments, law enforcement, hospitals, and universities are seizing upon the power. These institutions predict whether you're going to click, buy, lie, or die.Why? For good reason: predicting human behavior combats risk, boosts sales, fortifies healthcare, streamlines manufacturing, conquers spam, optimizes social networks, toughens crime fighting, and wins elections.How? Prediction is powered by the world's most potent, flourishing unnatural resource: data. Accumulated in large part as the by-product of routine tasks, data is the unsalted, flavorless residue deposited en masse as organizations churn away. Surprise! This heap of refuse is a gold mine. Big data embodies an extraordinary wealth of experience from which to learn.Predictive Analytics unleashes the power of data. With this technology, the computer literally learns from data how to predict the future behavior of individuals. Perfect prediction is not possible, but putting odds on the future drives millions of decisions more effectively, determining whom to call, mail, investigate, incarcerate, set up on a date, or medicate.In this lucid, captivating introduction -- now in its Revised and Updated edition -- former Columbia University professor and Predictive Analytics World founder Eric Siegel reveals the power and perils of prediction:* What type of mortgage risk Chase Bank predicted before the recession.* Predicting which people will drop out of school, cancel a subscription, or get divorced before they even know it themselves.* Why early retirement predicts a shorter life expectancy and vegetarians miss fewer flights.* Five reasons why organizations predict death -- including one health insurance company.* How U.S. Bank and Obama for America calculated -- and Hillary for America 2016 plans to calculate -- the way to most strongly persuade each individual.* Why the NSA wants all your data: machine learning supercomputers to fight terrorism.* How IBM's Watson computer used predictive modeling to answer questions and beat the human champs on TV's Jeopardy!* How companies ascertain untold, private truths -- how Target figures out you're pregnant and Hewlett-Packard deduces you're about to quit your job.* How judges and parole boards rely on crime-predicting computers to decide how long convicts remain in prison.* 182 examples from Airbnb, the BBC, Citibank, ConEd, Facebook, Ford, Google, the IRS, LinkedIn, Match.com, MTV, Netflix, PayPal, Pfizer, Spotify, Uber, UPS, Wikipedia, and more.How does predictive analytics work? This jam-packed book satisfies by demystifying the intriguing science under the hood. For future hands-on practitioners pursuing a career in the field, it sets a strong foundation, delivers the prerequisite knowledge, and whets your appetite for more.A truly omnipresent science, predictive analytics constantly affects our daily lives. Whether you are a consumer of it -- or consumed by it -- get a handle on the power of Predictive Analytics.

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Truth or Die Arrow

Powieść zagranicznaSensacja. Thiller. Kryminał

The truth will set you free - if it doesn't kill you first.New York attorney Trevor Mann's world shatters when he receives a phone call telling him his girlfriend has been shot dead in a mugging. But the circumstances point to something more calculated than a random attack.Claire was a New York Times journalist and Trevor is convinced she had unearthed a secret so shocking that she was murdered to keep it from coming to light. Chasing Claire's leads, Trevor will risk everything to discover what exactly she was killed for.It's time to find out the truth, or die.

Sklep: Booknet.net.pl