243,65 zł

Probability, Decisions and Games - A Gentle Introduction using R John Wiley and Sons Ltd

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Introduces the fundamentals of probability, statistics, decision theory, and game theory, and features interesting examples of games of chance to illustrate the presented mathematical conceptsRanging from simple games to strategic games, Probability, Decisions and Games features a variety of gaming and gambling examples to build a better understanding of quantitative reasoning. The authors establish fundamental concepts before moving on to more strategic games that illustrate how multiple concepts fit together. Organized into thirteen chapters, this book presents equal coverage on the general mathematical analysis concepts found in a wide variety of games as well as the specific theories and problems associated with well-known casino games. The authors cover zero-sum games, non-zero-sum games, and sequential games in order to introduce ideas such as mathematical expectation and variance, bias, combinatorial calculus, conditional probability and Bayes Theorem, Bernoulli trials, and the Binomial distribution.This book presents interesting gaming examples to highlight the practical applications and methodologies behind the basic concepts of probability, statistics, decision theory, and game theory. The first two chapters of Probability, Decisions and Games: A Gentle Introduction using R feature an introductory discussion of utility and probability theory in finite and discrete spaces. Subsequent chapters utilize popular casino games to illustrate the practical probabilistic methodologies. Finally, the book concludes with discussions on game theory and strategic games.Features introductory coverage of probability, statistics, decision theory, game theory, and mathematical analysis and has been class-tested at University of California, Santa Cruz for the past six yearsIllustrates mathematical concepts through interesting and fun examples using five popular casino games: roulette, lotto, craps, blackjack, and pokerProvides a variety of gaming and gambling examples of well-known simple games, such as casino games, zero-sum games, non-zero-sum games, and sequential games, in order to help readers better understand quantitative reasoningFeatures computer simulations using R throughout in order to illustrate complex concepts and help readers calculate the presented problemsContains exercises throughout and approaches games and gambling at a level that is accessible for readers with minimal experiencePresents a unique approach by presenting simple games first to demonstrate individual concepts before moving on to more strategic games that illustrate how these concepts work togetherProbability, Decisions and Games: A Gentle Introduction using R is a unique and helpful textbook for undergraduate courses on statistical reasoning, introduction to probability, statistical literacy, and quantitative reasoning for students from a variety of disciplines.

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46,08 zł

Power of Moments Transworld Publ. Ltd UK

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

THE NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER'Beautifully written, brilliantly researched' Angela Duckworth, bestselling author of GRIT'The most interesting, immediately actionable book I've read in quite a while... If life is a series of moments, the Heath brothers have transformed how I plan to spend mine' Adam Grant, bestselling author of ORIGINALS and OPTION B, with Sheryl SandbergIn this latest New York Times bestseller by the authors of Switch and Made to Stick, Chip and Dan Heath explore why certain brief experiences can jolt, elevate and change us - and how we can learn to create such extraordinary moments in our own life and work.What if a teacher could design a lesson that he knew his students would remember twenty years later? What if a doctor or nurse knew how to orchestrate moments that would bring more comfort to patients? What if you had a better sense of how to create memories that matter for your children? Many of the defining moments in our lives are the result of accident or luck - but why leave our most meaningful, memorable moments to chance when we can create them?In The Power of Moments, Chip and Dan Heath explore the stories of people who have created standout moments, from the owners who transformed an utterly mediocre hotel into one of the best-loved properties in Los Angeles by conjuring moments of magic for guests, to the scrappy team that turned around one of the worst elementary schools in the country by embracing an intervention that lasts less than an hour.Filled with remarkable tales and practical insights, The Power of Moments proves we all have the power to transform ordinary experiences into unforgettable ones.

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77,36 zł

Power of Moments Transworld Publ. Ltd UK

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

What if a teacher could design a lesson that he knew students would remember twenty years later? We all have defining moments in our lives - meaningful experiences that stand out in our memory. In this book, the authors ask: why leave our most meaningful, memorable moments to chance when we can create them?

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39,42 zł

Power of Moments Transworld Publ. Ltd UK

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

THE NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER 'Beautifully written, brilliantly researched' Angela Duckworth, bestselling author of GRIT 'The most interesting, immediately actionable book I've read in quite a while... If life is a series of moments, the Heath brothers have transformed how I plan to spend mine' Adam Grant, bestselling author of ORIGINALS and OPTION B, with Sheryl Sandberg In this latest New York Times bestseller by the authors of Switch and Made to Stick, Chip and Dan Heath explore why certain brief experiences can jolt, elevate and change us - and how we can learn to create such extraordinary moments in our own life and work. What if a teacher could design a lesson that he knew his students would remember twenty years later? What if a doctor or nurse knew how to orchestrate moments that would bring more comfort to patients? What if you had a better sense of how to create memories that matter for your children? Many of the defining moments in our lives are the result of accident or luck - but why leave our most meaningful, memorable moments to chance when we can create them? In The Power of Moments, Chip and Dan Heath explore the stories of people who have created standout moments, from the owners who transformed an utterly mediocre hotel into one of the best-loved properties in Los Angeles by conjuring moments of magic for guests, to the scrappy team that turned around one of the worst elementary schools in the country by embracing an intervention that lasts less than an hour. Filled with remarkable tales and practical insights, The Power of Moments proves we all have the power to transform ordinary experiences into unforgettable ones.

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177,63 zł

OSCE Cases with Mark Schemes Anshan Ltd

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Medical students often feel they understand the theory behind the clinical aspect of medicine but seldom have enough chance to put what they learn into practice. In addition, clinical examinations pose a challenge to students who may be technically and theoretically excellent, but who have poor examination technique. It is quite common for students to lack understanding of how they will be marked, how much emphasis to place upon certain actions or how much detail is expected of them. "OSCE Cases with Mark Schemes" is intended to fill this gap. It provides OSCE mark schemes to reflect the real OSCE experience, by encouraging self assessment when practicing the clinical scenarios. The book includes chapters on communication skills, medical ethics, explanation stations, paediatrics and obstetrics and gynaecology subjects which are sometimes neglected elsewhere. All four authors have taken part in medical student teaching and OSCE examinations. They understand what will earn marks in the actual exam. All the OSCE scenarios are from stations previously examined in the UK's top medical schools. This book prepares the student for what the actual finals exam will be like.Contents include: Section One - Communication Stations, Presenting Complaints, Psychiatry History Taking, Pediatrics History Taking, Obstetrics History Taking, Gynaecology History Taking, Medical Ethics, Difficult Communication Scenarios, Pharmacology, Consenting, Explanation of Management and Results; and Section Two - Performance Stations, Examination Skills, Practical Skills, Data Interpretation, and Closing Remarks.

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100,36 zł

Hidden History Transworld Publ. Ltd UK

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Hidden History uniquely exposes those responsible for the First World War. It reveals how accounts of the war's origins have been deliberately falsified to conceal the guilt of the secret cabal of very rich and powerful men in London responsible for the most heinous crime perpetrated on humanity. For ten years, they plotted the destruction of Germany as the first stage of their plan to take control of the world. The assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand was no chance happening. It lit a fuse that had been carefully set through a chain of command stretching from Sarajevo through Belgrade and St Petersburg to that cabal in London. Our understanding of these events has been firmly trapped in a web of falsehood and duplicity carefully constructed by the victors at Versailles in 1919 and maintained by compliant historians ever since. The official version is fatally flawed, warped by the volume of evidence they destroyed or concealed from public view. Hidden History poses a tantalising challenge. The authors ask only that you examine the evidence they lay before you...

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275,63 zł

Probabilistic Revolution MIT Press Ltd

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Probability ideas are the success story common to the growth of the modern natural and social sciences. Chance, indeterminism, and statistical inference have radically and globally transformed the sciences in a "probabilistic revolution."This monumental work traces the rise, the transformation, and the diffusion of probabilistic and statistical thinking in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. It is less concerned with specific technical discoveries than with locating the probability revolution historically within a larger framework of ideas. There is no comparable study that treats the rise of probability and statistics in such scope and depth.The contributors - scientists, historians and philosophers from eight countries - make it possible for readers trained in many disciplines to see why the probabilistic revolution has been so complete and so successful, and how the rejection of uniform causality by quantum physics, the stochastic nature of evolutionary biology, the indeterminisms of human psychology, and the random processes of many economic activities are all manifestations of an underlying unifying concept.Volume 1 opens with provocative essays on scientific revolutions in general and the probabilistic revolution in particular by Thomas S.Kuhn, I. Bernard Cohen, and Ian Hacking. Other authors discuss the evolution of philosophical ideas about probability and their articulation and elaboration in the mathematics of the nineteenth century and describe the first applications of techniques of statistical inference during that century: Topics include the uses and abuses of official statistics by the bureaucrats of France, England, and Prussia; the use - or neglect - of statistics by nascent sociologists, demographers, and insurance actuaries; and the emergence of statistical methodologies in fields ranging from social reform to agricultural production.The emphasis in volume 2 is on the more recent scientific advances of the probabilistic approach in various natural and social sciences, from "random walks" in the stock market to random drift in natural selection, and from indeterminate events at the atomic level to unpredictable actions at the human level.Lorenz Kruger and Michael Heidelberger are philosophers of science at Gottingen University, Lorraine J. Daston is a historian at Brandeis University, Gerd Gigerenzer is a psychologist at the University of Constance, and Mary S. Morgan is an economist at York University.A Bradford Book.

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