Analysis of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan Macat International Limited

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Europeans once thought all swans were white, and white' was part of how they defined 'swan.' Then black swans were discovered, and the definition changed forever. I

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Black Swan Rising TOR BOOKS ST MARTINS PR INC

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

When New York City jewelry designer Garet James stumbles into a strange antiques shop in her neighborhood, her life is about to be turned upside down. John Dee, the enigmatic shopkeeper, commissions her to open a vintage silver box for a generous sum of

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The Black Swan Penguin Books

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertaintyWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

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Black Swan Class Sloops Detailed in the Original Builders Plans Pen and Sword Books

/ Książki / Książki marynistyczne

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Monogatari Series Box Set Limited Edition Vertical Comics

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

From the popular MONOGATARI series comes the a special limited edition box set, which includes the novels in the first season! Books included in the special limited edition box set will be Books that will be included in the box set are the following:1. KIZUMONOGATARI2. BAKEMONOGATARI 13. BAKEMONOGATARI 24. BAKEMONOGATARI 35. NISEMONOGATARI 16. NISEMONOGATARI 27. NEKOMONOGATARI (BLACK)

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Black is Back

Szachy > Książki New In Chess

Many chess players act intimidated and overly cautious when they have the Black pieces. They are so preoccupied with White#8217;s advantage of the first move, that their predominant urge is to defend against possible threats and to safeguard their position.With his iconoclastic Black is OK books, Andras Adorjan has consistently been fighting this negative mindset. In Black is Back!, the Hungarian grandmaster continues his crusade.  Adorjan shows that White#8217;s advantage is far from obvious and that winning with Black starts with having the right attitude.In this book, his #8216;Swan Song', Adorjan takes stock. He presents a wealth of Black wins from his own long career and from great players he has worked with. Their creative play proves that Black can often turn the tables.  Surprising statistics and instructive examples from modern-day chess will encourage even the most defensively minded players to look for hidden opportunities.This book will convince both club players and professionals that there is no reason to be afraid when playing Black. Instead they will start looking for creative solutions and beat White more often. Sean Marsh, CHESS Magazine (UK): "Provides plenty of evidence to help to overturn the dogmatic favouring of the first player (..) There is no doubt that Adorjan is a free spirit and an original thinker (..) The epilogue brings this intruiging book to a close in dramatic style (..) Quirky, eccentric, different. Never dull. Like author, like book." Mark Haast, Schaaksite.nl: "A book that makes you think. Does White really have an advantage, or is that just my idée fixe? How come the statistics are better for White? Shouldn#8217;t I spend more time on my Black repertoire, and choose more dynamic openings? Adorjan#8217;s arguments are convincing: White#8217;s opening advantage isn#8217;t self-evident." Elburg Chess Reviews: "A wealth of super analyses and enjoyable  anecdotes (..) One of those chess books you must have read!" Chris Wainscott, On the Road to Chess Master: "The most important way this book can help is simply a change in mindset. The next time you sit down to face on opponent with the 'disadvantage' of playing black, just remember that truly, Black is Back!" Richard Vedder, Schaaknieuws: "More than 300 pages of success stories for Black. Inspiring for players who have a hard time with Black and a warning for those who think they can smoothly win with White. That is not going to happen that easily, because Black is Back!" Ian Marks, Chess Scotland: "Lots of dynamic, inspirational chess, lots of creative ideas, an often edgy text and an engrossing excursion into the philosophy of playing Black. If you#8217;ve never thought about this before, it could easily affect how you look at the game." Andras Adorjan  (1950) is an International Grandmaster, a former World Championship Candidate  and a former Hungarian champion. He was part of the Hungarian team that won the Gold Medal at the 1978 Chess Olympiad and worked as a second of World Champion Garry Kasparov. His #8216;Black is OK#8217; books brought him international fame as an author.

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Lonely Planet Munich, Bavaria & the Black Forest Lonely Planet Global Limited

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Lonely Planet's Munich, Bavaria & the Black Forest is our most comprehensive guide that extensively covers all the region has to offer, with recommendations for both popular and lesser-known experiences. Swill a beer at Oktoberfest, drive the Romantic Road, and wander through the Black Forest; all with your trusted travel companion. Inside Lonely Planet's Munich, Bavaria & the Black Forest Travel Guide: What's NEW in this edition? Up-to-date information - all businesses were rechecked before publication to ensure they are still open after 2020's COVID-19 outbreak NEW top experiences feature - a visually inspiring collection of Munich, Bavaria & the Black Forest's best experiences and where to have them What's NEW feature taps into cultural trends and helps you find fresh ideas and cool new areas Planning tools for family travellers - where to go, how to save money, plus fun stuff just for kids NEW pull-out, passport-size 'Just Landed' card* with wi-fi, ATM and transport info - all you need for a smooth journey from airport to hotel Highlights and itineraries help you tailor your trip to your personal needs and interests Eating & drinking in Munich, Bavaria & the Black Forest - we reveal the dishes and drinks you have to tryColour maps and images throughout Insider tips to save time and money and get around like a local, avoiding crowds and trouble spots Honest reviews for all budgets - eating, sleeping, sightseeing, going out, shopping, hidden gems that most guidebooks miss Cultural insights give you a richer, more rewarding travel experience - history, people, music, landscapes, wildlife, politics Over 43 maps Covers Munich, Bavaria, Nuremberg, The Romantic Road, Salzburg, Stuttgart & the Black Forest, Lake Constance The Perfect Choice: Lonely Planet's Munich, Bavaria & the Black Forest, our most comprehensive guide to Munich, Bavaria & the Black Forest, is perfect for both exploring top sights and taking roads less travelled.Visiting Munich for a week or less? Lonely Planet's Pocket Munich is a handy-sized guide focused on the city's can't-miss experiences. Looking for more extensive coverage? Check out Lonely Planet's Germany for a comprehensive look at all the country has to offer. About Lonely Planet: Lonely Planet is a leading travel media company, providing both inspiring and trustworthy information for every kind of traveller since 1973.Over the past four decades, we've printed over 145 million guidebooks and phrasebooks for 120 languages, and grown a dedicated, passionate global community of travellers. You'll also find our content online, and in mobile apps, videos, 14 languages, armchair and lifestyle books, ebooks, and more, enabling you to explore every day. 'Lonely Planet guides are, quite simply, like no other.' - New York Times 'Lonely Planet.It's on everyone's bookshelves; it's in every traveller's hands. It's on mobile phones. It's on the Internet.It's everywhere, and it's telling entire generations of people how to travel the world.' - Fairfax Media (Australia)

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Incerto Random House LCC US

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series is an investigation of luck, uncertainty, probability, opacity, human error, risk, disorder, and decision-making in a world we don't understand, in nonoverlapping and standalone books. All four volumes- Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and the expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes, updated with more than 50 percent new material-are now together in one boxed set. ANTIFRAGILE "Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides." -The Wall Street Journal Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, many things in life benefit from disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls "antifragile" is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. What is crucial is that the antifragile loves errors, as it incurs small harm and large benefits from them. Spanning politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine in an interdisciplinary and erudite style, Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. THE BLACK SWAN "[A book] that altered modern thinking."- The Times (London) A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows that black swan events underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives, and yet we-especially the experts-are blind to them. FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS "[ Fooled by Randomness ] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church."-Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? Fooled by Randomness is about luck: more precisely, about how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the markets- Fooled by Randomness is an irreverent, eye-opening, and endlessly entertaining exploration of one of the least understood forces in our lives. THE BED OF PROCRUSTES "Taleb's crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems."- Financial Times This collection of aphorisms and meditations expresses Taleb's major ideas in ways you least expect. The Bed of Procrustes takes its title from Greek mythology: the story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by either stretching them or cutting their limbs. With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical views of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness.

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Antifragile Random House

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Antifragile Penguin Books

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

"The hottest thinker in the world". (Bryan Appleyard, "Sunday Times").In "The Black Swan", Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. Here Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls antifragile are things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. What's more, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call "efficient" is not efficient at all? Why should you write your resignation letter before starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives?"Antifragile" is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb's message is revolutionary: the antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it. Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge and has led three careers around this focus, as a businessman-trader, a philosophical essayist, and an academic researcher. Although he now spends most of his time working in intense seclusion in his study, in the manner of independent scholars, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute. His main subject matter is "decision making under opacity," that is, a map and a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.His books "Fooled by Randomness" and "The Black Swan" have been published in thirty-three languages. Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.

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Mały Książę - Antoine Saint-Exupéry

Książki & Multimedia > Książki

Opis - Mały Książę - książka Antoine'a de Saint-Exupéry`ego została przetłumaczona na ponad 270 języków i należy do klasyki literatury światowej. Książka opowiada o dorastaniu do wiernej miłości, do prawdziwej przyjaźni i odpowiedzialności za drugiego człowieka. Za postacią głównego bohatera skrył się sam autor. Spotkanie Małego Księcia z pilotem jest rozmową pisarza z samym sobą, powrotem do tematów, które zawsze dla niego były istotne. Nazwa - Mały Książę Autor - Antoine Saint-Exupéry Oprawa - Twarda Wydawca - Books Kod ISBN - 9788365875839 Kod EAN - 9788365875839 Rok wydania - 2017 Język - polski Format - 16.4x23.5cm Ilość stron - 80 Podatek VAT - 5% Premiera - 2017-10-09

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Thinking, Fast and Slow - Daniel Kahneman

Książki & Multimedia > Książki

Opis - The New York Times Bestseller, acclaimed by author such as Freakonomics co- author Steven D. Levitt, Black Swan author Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Nudge co- author Richard Thaler, Thinking Fast and Slow offers a whole new look at the way our minds work, and how we make decisions. Why is there more chance we'll believe something if it's in a bold type face? Why are judges more likely to deny parole before lunch? Why do we assume a good-looking person will be more competent? The answer lies in the two ways we make choices: fast, intuitive thinking, and slow, rational thinking. This book reveals how our minds are tripped up by error and prejudice (even when we think we are being logical), and gives you practical techniques for slower, smarter thinking. It will enable to you make better decisions at work, at home, and in everything you do. Nazwa - Thinking, Fast and Slow Autor - Daniel Kahneman Oprawa - Miękka Wydawca - Penguin Books Kod ISBN - 9780141033570 Kod EAN - 9780141033570 Rok wydania - 2015 Język - angielski Format - 13.0x20.0cm Ilość stron - 504 Podatek VAT - 5%

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The Road to Little Dribbling - Bill Bryson

Książki & Multimedia > Książki

Opis - Over 20 years ago, Bill Bryson went on a trip around Britain to celebrate the green and kindly island that had become his home. The hilarious book he wrote about that journey, NOTES FROM A SMALL ISLAND became one of the most loved books of recent decades. Now, in his first travel book for 15 years, he sets out again on a long-awaited brand-new journey around the UK. Nazwa - The Road to Little Dribbling Autor - Bill Bryson Oprawa - Miękka Wydawca - Black Swan Kod ISBN - 9780552779845 Kod EAN - 9780552779845 Rok wydania - 2016 Język - angielski Format - 11.0x18.0cm Ilość stron - 480 Podatek VAT - 5%

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Bed of Procrustes Random House Publishing

Książki / Literatura obcojęzyczna

With fifty percent more material than the hardcover, this expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, and Antifragile .By the author of the modern classic The Black Swan , this collection of aphorisms and meditations expresses his major ideas in ways you least expect.The Bed of Procrustes takes its title from Greek mythology: the story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by either stretching them or cutting their limbs. It represents Taleb's view of modern civilization's hubristic side effects-modifying humans to satisfy technology, blaming reality for not fitting economic models, inventing diseases to sell drugs, defining intelligence as what can be tested in a classroom, and convincing people that employment is not slavery.Playful and irreverent, these aphorisms will surprise you by exposing self-delusions you have been living with but never recognized.With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness."Taleb's crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems."- Financial Times

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Submarine Penguin Books

Społeczno-obyczajowaPowieść zagranicznaSatyryczna i humorystyczna

Submarine is proper laugh-out-loud funny all the way through. I can't quote the funniest bits here though cos it would be out of context, and also they are too rude, sometimes extravagantly oedipal, sometimes just plain bonkers. Yes, the protagonist of this book is an original. Forget the two-dimensional sub-Mole narrator of 'dog in the night time' - this book is in a different league, rightly taking its place among the greats: if you've enjoyed any of the following books, then I suggest you give Submarine a try - Black Swan Green (Mitchell) The Wrong Boy (Russell) There Is A Happy Land (Waterhouse) Henry Tumour (McGowan) The Wasp factory (Banks) Riddley Walker (Hoban) A Clockwork Orange (Burgess). if your taste in books is folk flying around on broomsticks, errr, ...

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